Plasma metabolites and physical function in patients undergoing hemodialysis.

Impaired physical function contributes to falls, fractures, and mortality among patients undergoing dialysis. Using a metabolomic approach, we identified metabolite alterations and effect size-based composite scores for constructs of impaired gait speed and grip strength. 108 participants incident to dialysis had targeted plasma metabolomics via liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry and physical function assessed (i.e., 4 m walk, handgrip strength). Physical function measures were categorized as above/ below median, with grip utilizing sex-based medians. To develop composite scores, metabolites were identified via Wilcoxon uncorrected p < 0.05 and effect size > 0.40. Receiver operating characteristic analyses tested whether scores differentiated between above/below function groups. Participants were 54% male, 77% Black and 53 ± 14 y with dialysis vintage of 101 ± 50 days. Median (IQR) grip strength was 35.5 (11.1) kg (males) and 20 (8.4) kg (females); median gait speed was 0.82 (0.34) m/s. Of 246 measured metabolites, composite scores were composed of 22 and 12 metabolites for grip strength and gait speed, respectively. Area under the curve for metabolite composite was 0.88 (gait) and 0.911 (grip). Composite scores of physical function performed better than clinical parameters alone in patients on dialysis. These results provide potential pathways for interventions and needed validation in an independent cohort.

Designing an Implementable Clinical Prediction Model for Near-Term Mortality and Long-Term Survival in Patients on Maintenance Hemodialysis.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The life expectancy of patients treated with maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) is heterogeneous. Knowledge of life-expectancy may focus care decisions on near-term versus long-term goals. The current tools are limited and focus on near-term mortality. Here, we develop and assess potential utility for predicting near-term mortality and long-term survival on MHD. STUDY DESIGN: Predictive modeling study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 42,351 patients contributing 997,381 patient months over 11 years, abstracted from the electronic health record (EHR) system of midsize, nonprofit dialysis providers. NEW PREDICTORS & ESTABLISHED PREDICTORS: Demographics, laboratory results, vital signs, and service utilization data available within dialysis EHR. OUTCOME: For each patient month, we ascertained death within the next 6 months (ie, near-term mortality) and survival over more than 5 years during receipt of MHD or after kidney transplantation (ie, long-term survival). ANALYTICAL APPROACH: We used least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression and gradient-boosting machines to predict each outcome. We compared these to time-to-event models spanning both time horizons. We explored the performance of decision rules at different cut points. RESULTS: All models achieved an area under the receiver operator characteristic curve of≥0.80 and optimal calibration metrics in the test set. The long-term survival models had significantly better performance than the near-term mortality models. The time-to-event models performed similarly to binary models. Applying different cut points spanning from the 1st to 90th percentile of the predictions, a positive predictive value (PPV) of 54% could be achieved for near-term mortality, but with poor sensitivity of 6%. A PPV of 71% could be achieved for long-term survival with a sensitivity of 67%. LIMITATIONS: The retrospective models would need to be prospectively validated before they could be appropriately used as clinical decision aids. CONCLUSIONS: A model built with readily available clinical variables to support easy implementation can predict clinically important life expectancy thresholds and shows promise as a clinical decision support tool for patients on MHD. Predicting long-term survival has better decision rule performance than predicting near-term mortality. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Clinical prediction models (CPMs) are not widely used for patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (MHD). Although a variety of CPMs have been reported in the literature, many of these were not well-designed to be easily implementable. We consider the performance of an implementable CPM for both near-term mortality and long-term survival for patients undergoing MHD. Both near-term and long-term models have similar predictive performance, but the long-term models have greater clinical utility. We further consider how the differential performance of predicting over different time horizons may be used to impact clinical decision making. Although predictive modeling is not regularly used for MHD patients, such tools may help promote individualized care planning and foster shared decision making.

Refining GFR estimation: a quest for the unobservable truth?

Assessing glomerular filtration rate (GFR), which is central to evaluating kidney health, remains challenging. Measured GFR is not widely available and lacks standardization. Estimated GFR can be highly inaccurate for some patients and has limited applicability to many patient populations, such as those who are acutely ill. Recent metabolomic advances show promise for identifying new filtration markers that might enhance GFR estimation. Improving GFR assessment will require refinement in both GFR measurement and estimation methods.

Metabolites Associated With Uremic Symptoms in Patients With CKD: Findings From the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) Study.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The toxins that contribute to uremic symptoms in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are unknown. We sought to apply complementary statistical modeling approaches to data from untargeted plasma metabolomic profiling to identify solutes associated with uremic symptoms in patients with CKD. STUDY DESIGN: Cross-sectional. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: 1,761 Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) participants with CKD not treated with dialysis. PREDICTORS: Measurement of 448 known plasma metabolites. OUTCOMES: The uremic symptoms of fatigue, anorexia, pruritus, nausea, paresthesia, and pain were assessed by single items on the Kidney Disease Quality of Life-36 instrument. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Multivariable adjusted linear regression, least absolute shrinkage and selection operator linear regression, and random forest models were used to identify metabolites associated with symptom severity. After adjustment for multiple comparisons, metabolites selected in at least 2 of the 3 modeling approaches were deemed "overall significant." RESULTS: Participant mean estimated glomerular filtration rate was 43mL/min/1.73m2, with 44% self-identifying as female and 41% as non-Hispanic Black. The prevalence of uremic symptoms ranged from 22% to 55%. We identified 17 metabolites for which a higher level was associated with greater severity of at least one uremic symptom and 9 metabolites inversely associated with uremic symptom severity. Many of these metabolites exhibited at least a moderate correlation with estimated glomerular filtration rate (Pearson's r≥0.5), and some were also associated with the risk of developing kidney failure or death in multivariable adjusted Cox regression models. LIMITATIONS: Lack of a second independent cohort for external validation of our findings. CONCLUSIONS: Metabolomic profiling was used to identify multiple solutes associated with uremic symptoms in adults with CKD, but future validation and mechanistic studies are needed. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Individuals living with chronic kidney disease (CKD) often experience symptoms related to CKD, traditionally called uremic symptoms. It is likely that CKD results in alterations in the levels of numerous circulating substances that, in turn, cause uremic symptoms; however, the identity of these solutes is not known. In this study, we used metabolomic profiling in patients with CKD to gain insights into the pathophysiology of uremic symptoms. We identified 26 metabolites whose levels were significantly associated with at least one of the symptoms of fatigue, anorexia, itchiness, nausea, paresthesia, and pain. The results of this study lay the groundwork for future research into the biological causes of symptoms in patients with CKD.

Comparative Effectiveness of Alternative Treatment Approaches to Secondary Hyperparathyroidism in Patients Receiving Maintenance Hemodialysis: An Observational Trial Emulation.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: Optimal approaches to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) in patients on maintenance hemodialysis (HD) have yet to be established in randomized controlled trials (RCTs). STUDY DESIGN: Two observational clinical trial emulations. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Both emulations included adults receiving in-center HD from a national dialysis organization. The patients who had SHPT in the period between 2009 and 2014, were insured for≥180 days by Medicare as primary payer, and did not have contraindications or poor health status limiting theoretical trial participation. EXPOSURE: The parathyroid hormone (PTH) Target Trial emulation included patients with new-onset SHPT (first PTH 300-600pg/mL), with 2 arms defined as up-titration of either vitamin D sterols or cinacalcet within 30 days (lower target) or no up-titration (higher target). The Agent Trial emulation included patients with a PTH≥300 pg/mL while on≥6µg weekly of vitamin D sterol (paricalcitol equivalent dose) and no prior history of cinacalcet. The 2 arms were defined by the first dose or agent change within 30 days (vitamin D-favoring [vitamin-D was up-titrated] vs cinacalcet-favoring [cinacalcet was added] vs nondefined [neither applies]). Multiple trials per patient were allowed in trial 2. OUTCOME: The primary outcome was all-cause death over 24 months; secondary outcomes included cardiovascular (CV) hospitalization or the composite of CV hospitalization or death. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: Pooled logistic regression. RESULTS: There were 1,152 patients in the PTH Target Trial (635 lower target and 517 higher target). There were 2,726 unique patients with 6,727 patient trials in the Agent Trial (6,268 vitamin D-favoring trials and 459 cinacalcet-favoring trials). The lower PTH target approach was associated with reduced adjusted hazard of death (HR, 0.71 [95% CI, 0.52-0.93]), CV hospitalization (HR, 0.78 [95% CI, 0.63-0.98]), and their composite (HR, 0.74 [95% CI, 0.61-0.89]). The cinacalcet-favoring approach demonstrated lower adjusted hazard of death compared to the vitamin D-favoring approach (HR, 0.79 [95% CI, 0.62-0.99]), but not of CV hospitalization or the composite outcome. LIMITATIONS: Potential for residual confounding; low use of cinacalcet with low power. CONCLUSIONS: SHPT management that is focused on lower PTH targets may lower mortality and CV disease in patients receiving HD. These findings should be confirmed in a pragmatic randomized trial. PLAIN-LANGUAGE SUMMARY: Optimal approaches to treat secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) have not been established in randomized controlled trials. Data from a national dialysis organization was used to identify patients with SHPT in whom escalated treatment may be indicated. The approach to treatment was defined based on observed upward titration of SHPT-controlling medications: earlier titration (lower target) versus delayed titration (higher target); and the choice of medication (cinacalcet vs vitamin D sterols). In the first trial emulation, we estimated a 29% lower rate of death and 26% lower rate of cardiovascular disease or death for patients managed with a lower versus higher target approach. Cinacalcet versus vitamin D-favoring approaches were not consistently associated with outcomes in the second trial emulation. This observational study suggests the need for additional clinical trials of SHPT treatment intensity.

Evaluation of a large-scale aptamer proteomics platform among patients with kidney failure on dialysis.

BACKGROUND: Patients with kidney failure suffer high mortality, and we currently lack markers for risk stratification for these patients. We carried out a quality control study of a modified aptamer assay (SomaScan v.4.0) that measures ~ 5000 proteins, in preparation for a larger study using this platform in cohorts with kidney failure. METHODS: Forty participants from the Cardiac, Endothelial Function and Arterial Stiffness in End-Stage Renal Disease (CERES study) were selected to analyze technical and short-term biological variability, orthogonal correlations and differential protein expression in plasma from patients who died during 2.5 year follow-up. Long-term (one year) variability was studied in 421 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort. We evaluated 4849 aptamers (4607 unique proteins) using data formats including raw data and data formatted using Adaptive Normalization by Maximum Likelihood (ANML), an algorithm developed for SomaScan data in individuals with normal kidney function. RESULTS: In ANML format, median[IQR] intra-assay coefficient of variation (CV) was 2.38%[1.76, 3.40] and inter-assay CV was 7.38%[4.61, 13.12]. Short-term within-subject CV was 5.76% [3.35, 9.72]; long-term CV was 8.71%[5.91, 13.37]. Spearman correlations between aptamer and traditional assays for PTH, NT-proBNP, FGF-23 and CRP were all > 0.7. Fold-change (FC) in protein levels among non-survivors, significant after Bonferroni correction, included SVEP1 (FC[95% CI] 2.14 [1.62, 2.82]), keratocan (1.74 [1.40, 2.15]) and LanC-like protein 1 (0.56 [0.45, 0.70]). Compared to raw aptamer data, technical and short-term biological variability in paired samples was lower in ANML-formatted data. ANML formatting had minimal impact on orthogonal correlations with traditional assays or the associations of proteins with the phenotype of mortality. CONCLUSIONS: SomaScan had excellent technical variability and low within-subject short-term variability. ANML formatting could facilitate comparison of biomarker results with other studies that utilize this format. We expect SomaScan to provide novel and reproducible information in patients with kidney failure on dialysis.

Residual Kidney Function and Cause-Specific Mortality Among Incident Hemodialysis Patients.

Introduction: The survival benefit of residual kidney function (RKF) in patients on hemodialysis is presumably due to enhanced fluid management and solute clearance. However, data are lacking on the association of renal urea clearance (CLurea) with specific causes of death. Methods: We conducted a longitudinal cohort study of 39,623 adults initiating thrice-weekly in-center hemodialysis from 2007 to 2011 and had data on renal CLurea and urine volume. Multivariable cause-specific proportional hazards model was used to examine the associations between baseline RKF and cause-specific mortality, including sudden cardiac death (SCD), non-SCD cardiovascular death (CVD), and non-CVD. Restricted cubic splines were fitted for change in RKF over 6 months after initiating hemodialysis. Results: Among 39,623 patients with data on baseline renal CLurea and urine volume, there was a significant trend toward a higher mortality risk across lower RKF levels, irrespective of cause of death in a case-mix adjustment model (Ptrend < 0.05). Adjustment for ultrafiltration rate (UFR) slightly attenuated the association between low renal CLurea and high cause-specific mortality, whereas adjustment for highest potassium did not have substantial effect. Among 12,169 patients with data on change in RKF, a 6-month decline in renal CLurea showed graded associations with SCD, non-SCD CVD, and non-CVD risk, whereas the graded associations between faster 6-month decline in urine output and higher death risk were clear only for SCD and non-CVD. Conclusion: Lower RKF and loss of RKF were associated with higher cause-specific mortality among patients initiating thrice-weekly in-center hemodialysis.

Management of Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction in Patients With Diabetes Mellitus and Chronic Kidney Disease.

Heart failure (HF), diabetes, and chronic kidney disease (CKD) frequently coexist, with one comorbidity worsening the prognosis of another. ß-blockers, angiotensin-receptor-neprilysin inhibitors, renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system inhibitors, mineralocorticoid-receptor antagonists, and sodium-glucose cotransporter-2 inhibitors all have been shown to reduce mortality in patients with HF with reduced ejection fraction. However, their uptake in real-world clinical practice remains low, especially among patients who have multiple other comorbidities such as CKD and diabetes. The management of HF in patients with diabetes and CKD can be especially challenging because these patients typically are older, frail, and have multiple other comorbidities, and guideline-directed medical therapy used in HF potentially can affect renal function acutely and chronically. In this article, we discuss the available evidence for each of the foundational HF therapies in patients with diabetes and CKD, emphasizing the current challenges and outlining future directions to optimize the management of HF among these high-risk patients.

A Study of Physical Resilience and Aging (SPRING): Conceptual framework, rationale, and study design.

Understanding the physiological basis of physical resilience to clinical stressors is crucial for the well-being of older adults. This article presents a novel framework to discover the biological underpinnings of physical resilience in older adults as part of the "Characterizing Resiliencies to Physical Stressors in Older Adults: A Dynamical Physiological Systems Approach" study, also known as The Study of Physical Resilience and Aging (SPRING). Physical resilience, defined as the capacity of a person to withstand clinical stressors and quickly recover or improve upon a baseline functional level, is examined in adults aged 55 years and older by studying the dynamics of stress response systems. The hypothesis is that well-regulated stress response systems promote physical resilience. The study employs dynamic stimulation tests to assess energy metabolism, the hypothalamic-pituitary-adrenal axis, the autonomic nervous system, and the innate immune system. Baseline characteristics influencing resilience outcomes are identified through deep phenotyping of physical and cognitive function, as well as of biological, environmental, and psychosocial characteristics. SPRING aims to study participants undergoing knee replacement surgery (n = 100), bone and marrow transplantation (n = 100), or anticipating dialysis initiation (n = 60). Phenotypic and functional measures are collected pre-stressor and at multiple times after stressor for up to 12 months to examine resilience trajectories. By improving our understanding of physical resilience in older adults, SPRING has the potential to enhance resilient outcomes to major clinical stressors. The article provides an overview of the study's background, rationale, design, pilot phase, implementation, and implications for improving the health and well-being of older adults.

Association of urine and plasma ADMA with atherosclerotic risk in DKD cardiovascular disease risk in diabetic kidney disease: findings from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) study.

BACKGROUND: Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) risk, especially among those with diabetes. Altered metabolism of solutes that accumulate in CKD [asymmetric dimethylarginine (ADMA), symmetric dimethylarginine (SDMA) and trimethylamine N-oxide (TMAO)] may reflect pathways linking CKD with ASCVD. METHODS: This case-cohort study included Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort participants with baseline diabetes, estimated glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and without prior history for each outcome. The primary outcome was incident ASCVD (time to first myocardial infarction, stroke or peripheral artery disease event) and secondary outcome was incident heart failure. The subcohort comprised randomly selected participants meeting entry criteria. Plasma and urine ADMA, SDMA and TMAO concentrations were determined by liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry. Associations of uremic solute plasma concentrations and urinary fractional excretions with outcomes were evaluated by weighted multivariable Cox regression models, adjusted for confounding covariables. RESULTS: Higher plasma ADMA concentrations (per standard deviation) were associated with ASCVD risk [hazard ratio (HR) 1.30, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.01-1.68]. Lower fractional excretion of ADMA (per standard deviation) was associated with ASCVD risk (HR 1.42, 95% CI 1.07-1.89). The lowest quartile of ADMA fractional excretion was associated with greater ASCVD risk (HR 2.25, 95% CI 1.08-4.69) compared with the highest quartile. Plasma SDMA and TMAO concentration and fractional excretion were not associated with ASCVD. Neither plasma nor fractional excretion of ADMA, SDMA and TMAO were associated with incident heart failure. CONCLUSION: These data suggest that decreased kidney excretion of ADMA leads to increased plasma concentrations and ASCVD risk.

Excess risk of cardiovascular events in patients in the United States vs. Japan with chronic kidney disease is mediated mainly by left ventricular structure and function.

While patients receiving dialysis therapy in the United States are more likely to develop cardiovascular disease (CVD) than those in Japan, direct comparisons of patients with predialysis chronic kidney disease (CKD) are rare. To study this, we compared various outcomes in patients with predialysis CKD using data from the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort (CRIC) and CKD Japan Cohort (CKD-JAC) studies and determined mediators of any differences. Candidate mediators included left ventricular (LV) indices assessed by echocardiography. Among 3125 CRIC and 1097 CKD-JAC participants, the mean LV mass index (LVMI) and ejection fraction (EF) were 55.7 and 46.6 g/m2 and 54% and 65%, respectively (both significant). The difference in body mass index (32 and 24 kg/m2, respectively) largely accounted for the differences in LVMI and C-reactive protein levels across cohorts. Low EF and high LVMI were significantly associated with subsequent CVD in both cohorts. During a median follow-up of five years, CRIC participants were at higher risk for CVD (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 3.66 [2.74-4.89]) and death (4.69 [3.05-7.19]). A three-fold higher C-reactive protein concentration and higher phosphate levels in the United States cohort were moderately strong mediators of the differences in CVD. However, echocardiographic parameters were stronger mediators than these laboratory measures. LVMI, EF and their combination mediated the observed difference in CVD (27%, 50%, and 57%, respectively) and congestive heart failure (33%, 62%, and 70%, respectively). Thus, higher LV mass and lower EF, even in the normal range, were found to be predictive of CVD in CKD.

Albuminuria and Heart Failure: JACC State-of-the-Art Review.

Although chronic kidney disease is characterized by low glomerular filtration rate (GFR) or albuminuria, estimated GFR (eGFR) is more widely utilized as a marker of risk profile in cardiovascular diseases, including heart failure (HF). The presence and magnitude of albuminuria confers a strong prognostic association in forecasting risk of incident HF as well as its progression, irrespective of eGFR. Despite the high prevalence of albuminuria in HF, whether it adds incremental prognostic information in clinical practice and serves as an independent risk marker, and whether there are any therapeutic implications of assessing albuminuria in patients with HF is less well-established. In this narrative review, we assess the potential role of albuminuria in risk profiling for development and progression of HF, strengths and limitations of utilizing albuminuria as a risk marker, its ability to serve in HF risk prediction models, and the implications of adopting albuminuria as an effective parameter in cardiovascular trials and practice.

Incidence and Risk Factors for Pruritus in Patients with Nondialysis CKD.

BACKGROUND: Pruritus is a common symptom experienced by patients with nondialysis CKD, but risk factors for incident pruritus in this patient population have not been evaluated. METHODS: We identified 1951 participants with CKD in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study without pruritus at the baseline assessment. Pruritus was assessed by the Kidney Disease Quality of Life-36 (KDQOL-36) instrument, and moderate-to-severe pruritus was defined as a response of 3 or higher on a Likert scale of 1-5. We used time-updated multivariable joint models to evaluate the association of patient clinical characteristics, eGFR, and laboratory parameters with incident pruritus. RESULTS: Over a median follow-up of 6 years, 660 (34%) participants developed incident moderate-to-severe pruritus, with a higher incidence rate observed among participants with more advanced CKD. In multivariable models, the hazard ratio (95% confidence interval [CI]) for pruritus associated with a 10 ml/min per 1.73 m 2 lower eGFR was 1.16 (95% CI, 1.10 to 1.23). Older age (≥65 years), higher body mass index, diabetes, current smoking, opioid use, depressive symptoms, and serum parathyroid hormone were also associated with a higher risk of incident pruritus, whereas low serum calcium (<9 mg/dl) was associated with a lower risk (all P <0.05). Serum phosphate was not associated with incident pruritus in the primary analysis. CONCLUSIONS: A substantial proportion of patients with nondialysis CKD develop moderate-to-severe pruritus. Although lower eGFR is associated with the risk of pruritus, other comorbidities, particularly depressive symptoms, were potential risk factors. PODCAST: This article contains a podcast at https://www.asn-online.org/media/podcast/CJASN/2023_02_08_CJN09480822.mp3.

Traditions and innovations in assessment of glomerular filtration rate using creatinine to cystatin C.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: Glomerular filtration rate (GFR) is the best index for kidney function and estimated GFR (eGFR) calculated from endogenous filtration markers like serum creatinine and cystatin C is widely used in clinical practice for chronic kidney disease diagnosis and prognostication. We sought to review the evolution of GFR estimating equations, nuances of eGFR interpretation, and utility of eGFR in drug dosing. RECENT FINDINGS: The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) serum creatinine eGFR equation was recently updated to exclude the race variable and the CKD-EPI creatinine-cystatin C equation demonstrated the highest reliability. Although calculated creatinine clearance by Cockcroft Gault has been traditionally used for drug dosing, the use of eGFR is slowly being adapted by the Food and Drug Administration for pharmacokinetic studies. However, the individual-level accuracy of eGFR using the CKD-EPI 2021 equations remained low, with the distribution of measured GFR at a given eGFR value spanning several CKD stages. SUMMARY: Although current methods of estimating GFR have improved in population measures of reliability, all have significant individual-level inaccuracies that can be an issue when clinical decision-making is contingent on the actual level of GFR. Modern methods of GFR measurements should be made widely available to enhance individualized patient decision-making.

Physical Resilience Phenotype Trajectories in Incident Hemodialysis: Characterization and Mortality Risk Assessment.

Introduction: Although life-saving, the physiologic stress of hemodialysis initiation contributes to physical impairment in some patients. Mortality risk assessment following hemodialysis initiation is underdeveloped and does not account for change over time. Measures of physical resilience, the ability of a physiologic state to overcome physiologic stressors, may help identify patients at higher mortality risk and inform clinical management. Methods: We created 3 resilience categories (improving, stable, and declining) for trajectories of 4 phenotypes (physical function [PF], mental health [MH], vitality [VT], and general health [GH]) using SF-36 data collected the first year after hemodialysis initiation in the Choices for Healthy Outcomes in Caring for ESKD (CHOICE) study on 394 adults aged more than 55 years. Using mixed effects and Cox proportional hazard modeling, we assessed mortality following the first year on dialysis by resilience categories for each phenotype, adjusting for baseline phenotype and other confounders defined a priori over 4 years average follow-up. Results: Based on global Wald tests, statistically significant associations of PF (P = 0.03) and VT (P = 0.0004) resilience categories with mortality were found independent of covariates. Declining PF trajectory was associated with higher mortality risk (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.32; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.05-1.66), whereas improving VT trajectory was associated with lower mortality risk (HR= 0.73; 95% CI, 0.53 to 1.00), each as compared to stable trajectory. Conclusion: Decreased resilience in PF and VT was independently associated with mortality. Phenotypic trajectories provide added value to baseline markers and patient characteristics when evaluating mortality. Hence, resilience measures hold promise for targeting population health interventions to the highest risk patients.

Quantifying Individual-Level Inaccuracy in Glomerular Filtration Rate Estimation : A Cross-Sectional Study.

BACKGROUND: Although the population-level differences between estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and measured glomerular filtration rate (mGFR) are well recognized, the magnitude and potential clinical implications of individual-level differences are unknown. OBJECTIVE: To quantify the magnitude and consequences of the individual-level differences between mGFRs and eGFRs. DESIGN: Cross-sectional study. SETTING: Four U.S. community-based epidemiologic cohort studies with mGFR. PATIENTS: 3223 participants in 4 studies. MEASUREMENTS: The GFRs were measured using urinary iothalamate and plasma iohexol clearance; the eGFR was calculated from serum creatinine concentration alone (eGFRCR) and with cystatin C. All GFR results are presented as mL/min/1.73 m2. RESULTS: The participants' mean age was 59 years; 32% were Black, 55% were women, and the mean mGFR was 68. The population-level differences between mGFR and eGFRCR were small; the median difference (mGFR - eGFR) was -0.6 (95% CI, -1.2 to -0.2); however, the individual-level differences were large. At an eGFRCR of 60, 50% of mGFRs ranged from 52 to 67, 80% from 45 to 76, and 95% from 36 to 87. At an eGFRCR of 30, 50% of mGFRs ranged from 27 to 38, 80% from 23 to 44, and 95% from 17 to 54. Substantial disagreement in chronic kidney disease staging by mGFR and eGFRCR was present. Among those with eGFRCR of 45 to 59, 36% had mGFR greater than 60 whereas 20% had mGFR less than 45; among those with eGFRCR of 15 to 29, 30% had mGFR greater than 30 and 5% had mGFR less than 15. The eGFR based on cystatin C did not provide substantial improvement. LIMITATION: Single measurement of mGFR and serum markers without short-term replicates. CONCLUSION: A substantial individual-level discrepancy exists between the mGFR and the eGFR. Laboratories reporting eGFR should consider including the extent of this uncertainty to avoid misinterpretation of eGFR as an mGFR replacement. PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.

Physiological Mechanisms of Hypertension and Cardiovascular Disease in End-Stage Kidney Disease.

PURPOSE OF REVIEW: In this article, we summarize recent advances in understanding hypertension and cardiovascular disease in patients with end-stage kidney disease. RECENT FINDINGS: Factors such as anemia, valvular and vascular calcification, vasoconstrictors, uremic toxins, hypoglycemia, carbamylated proteins, oxidative stress, and inflammation have all been associated with the progression of cardiovascular disease in end-stage kidney disease but the causality of these mechanisms has not been proven. The high risk of cardiovascular mortality has not improved as in the general population despite many advancements in cardiovascular care over the last two decades. Mechanisms that increase hypertension risk in these patients are centered on the control of extracellular fluid volume; however, over-correction of volume with dialysis can increase risks of intradialytic hypotension and death in these patients. This review presents both recent and classic work that increases our understanding of hypertension and cardiovascular disease in end-stage kidney disease.